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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kasimpasa win with a probability of 48.24%. A win for Hatayspor had a probability of 27.6% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kasimpasa win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.42%) and 0-2 (7.87%). The likeliest Hatayspor win was 2-1 (6.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Hatayspor | Draw | Kasimpasa |
27.6% ( -0.31) | 24.16% ( -0.2) | 48.24% ( 0.51) |
| Both teams to score 56.85% ( 0.43) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.82% ( 0.67) | 45.18% ( -0.67) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.48% ( 0.64) | 67.52% ( -0.64) |
| Hatayspor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.04% ( 0.12) | 29.96% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.93% ( 0.14) | 66.07% ( -0.14) |
| Kasimpasa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.17% ( 0.47) | 18.83% ( -0.47) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.73% ( 0.78) | 50.27% ( -0.78) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hatayspor | Draw | Kasimpasa |
| 2-1 @ 6.84% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 6.8% ( -0.17)2-0 @ 4.1% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 2.75% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.3% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 1.65% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.17% Total : 27.6% | 1-1 @ 11.35% ( -0.12) 2-2 @ 5.71% ( 0.04)0-0 @ 5.64% ( -0.16)3-3 @ 1.28% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.16% | 1-2 @ 9.48% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 9.42% ( -0.13)0-2 @ 7.87% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 5.28% ( 0.1)0-3 @ 4.38% ( 0.07)2-3 @ 3.18% ( 0.07)1-4 @ 2.2% ( 0.07)0-4 @ 1.83% ( 0.05)2-4 @ 1.33% ( 0.05)Other @ 3.29% Total : 48.24% |
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