SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hatayspor win with a probability of 46.61%. A win for Alanyaspor had a probability of 28.6% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hatayspor win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.33%) and 2-0 (7.83%). The likeliest Alanyaspor win was 0-1 (7.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Hatayspor in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Hatayspor.
| Result | ||
| Hatayspor | Draw | Alanyaspor |
46.61% ( 0.13) | 24.8% ( -0.01) | 28.6% ( -0.12) |
| Both teams to score 55.47% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.67% ( -0.02) | 47.34% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.44% ( -0.02) | 69.56% ( 0.02) |
| Hatayspor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.63% ( 0.05) | 20.37% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.22% ( 0.07) | 52.78% ( -0.07) |
| Alanyaspor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.66% ( -0.1) | 30.35% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.47% ( -0.12) | 66.53% ( 0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hatayspor | Draw | Alanyaspor |
| 1-0 @ 9.84% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.33% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 7.83% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 4.95% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 4.15% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.95% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.97% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.65% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.17% ( 0)Other @ 2.77% Total : 46.61% | 1-1 @ 11.72% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.18% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.56% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.17% ( -0)Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.79% | 0-1 @ 7.37% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.99% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 4.4% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.78% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.21% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.75% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.1% Total : 28.6% |
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