This game sees the strongest attacking squad in the Turkish Super Lig come up against one of the weakest defences so far, which could lead to a very open game on Sunday. Fenerbahce have been impressive so far, and they head into this one after two strong Europa League performances which should help them take all three points here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 69.69%. A draw had a probability of 18.1% and a win for Alanyaspor had a probability of 12.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.58%) and 2-1 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.61%), while for an Alanyaspor win it was 0-1 (3.85%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fenerbahce would win this match.

Result
Fenerbahce	Draw	Alanyaspor
69.69% ( -0.12)	18.15% ( 0.2)	12.15% ( -0.08)

Both teams to score 49.74% (

-0.99)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.83% (

-1.16)

41.17% (

1.16)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.43% (

-1.19)

63.56% (

1.19)

Fenerbahce Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.33% (

-0.35)

10.67% (

0.35)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

65.45% (

-0.78)

34.54% (

0.78)

Alanyaspor Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.68% (

-0.89)

44.31% (

0.88)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.62% (

-0.73)

80.38% (

0.73)

Score Analysis

Fenerbahce 69.69%

Alanyaspor 12.15%

Draw 18.15%

Fenerbahce	Draw	Alanyaspor
2-0 @ 11.83% ( 0.28) 1-0 @ 10.58% ( 0.4) 2-1 @ 9.64% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 8.83% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 7.19% ( -0.11) 4-0 @ 4.94% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 4.02% ( -0.12) 3-2 @ 2.93% ( -0.12) 5-0 @ 2.21% ( -0.04) 5-1 @ 1.8% ( -0.08) 4-2 @ 1.64% ( -0.09) Other @ 4.09% Total : 69.69%	1-1 @ 8.61% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 4.73% ( 0.24) 2-2 @ 3.92% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.89% Total : 18.15%	0-1 @ 3.85% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 3.5% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 1.57% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.22% Total : 12.15%