SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 17 | Ankaragucu | 3 | -4 | 1 |
| 18 | Hatayspor | 2 | -2 | 0 |
| 19 | Kasimpasa | 3 | -11 | 0 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 17 | Ankaragucu | 3 | -4 | 1 |
| 18 | Hatayspor | 2 | -2 | 0 |
| 19 | Kasimpasa | 3 | -11 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kasimpasa win with a probability of 53.93%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Hatayspor had a probability of 21.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kasimpasa win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.18%) and 2-1 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.64%), while for a Hatayspor win it was 0-1 (7.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Kasimpasa in this match.
| Result | ||
| Kasimpasa | Draw | Hatayspor |
53.93% ( 0.83) | 24.54% ( -0.21) | 21.53% ( -0.63) |
| Both teams to score 49.28% ( -0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.9% ( 0.16) | 52.1% ( -0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.18% ( 0.14) | 73.82% ( -0.14) |
| Kasimpasa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.75% ( 0.39) | 19.25% ( -0.39) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.03% ( 0.64) | 50.97% ( -0.64) |
| Hatayspor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.03% ( -0.53) | 38.97% ( 0.53) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.31% ( -0.5) | 75.69% ( 0.5) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kasimpasa | Draw | Hatayspor |
| 1-0 @ 12.36% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 10.18% ( 0.18)2-1 @ 9.6% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 5.59% ( 0.17)3-1 @ 5.27% ( 0.08)3-2 @ 2.48% ( 0)4-0 @ 2.3% ( 0.1)4-1 @ 2.17% ( 0.06)4-2 @ 1.02% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.95% Total : 53.93% | 1-1 @ 11.64% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 7.5% ( -0.05)2-2 @ 4.52% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.86% Total : 24.53% | 0-1 @ 7.07% ( -0.15) 1-2 @ 5.49% ( -0.13)0-2 @ 3.33% ( -0.12)1-3 @ 1.72% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.05)Other @ 1.45% Total : 21.53% |
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