Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kasimpasa win with a probability of 53.93%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Hatayspor had a probability of 21.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kasimpasa win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.18%) and 2-1 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.64%), while for a Hatayspor win it was 0-1 (7.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Kasimpasa in this match.

Result
Kasimpasa	Draw	Hatayspor
53.93% ( 0.83)	24.54% ( -0.21)	21.53% ( -0.63)

Both teams to score 49.28% (

-0.19)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.9% (

0.16)

52.1% (

-0.16)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.18% (

0.14)

73.82% (

-0.14)

Kasimpasa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.75% (

0.39)

19.25% (

-0.39)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.03% (

0.64)

50.97% (

-0.64)

Hatayspor Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.03% (

-0.53)

38.97% (

0.53)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.31% (

-0.5)

75.69% (

0.5)

Score Analysis

Kasimpasa 53.93%

Hatayspor 21.53%

Draw 24.53%

Kasimpasa	Draw	Hatayspor
1-0 @ 12.36% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 10.18% ( 0.18) 2-1 @ 9.6% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 5.59% ( 0.17) 3-1 @ 5.27% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 2.48% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.3% ( 0.1) 4-1 @ 2.17% ( 0.06) 4-2 @ 1.02% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.95% Total : 53.93%	1-1 @ 11.64% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 7.5% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 4.52% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.86% Total : 24.53%	0-1 @ 7.07% ( -0.15) 1-2 @ 5.49% ( -0.13) 0-2 @ 3.33% ( -0.12) 1-3 @ 1.72% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.05) Other @ 1.45% Total : 21.53%