SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Besiktas win with a probability of 49.23%. A win for Hatayspor had a probability of 26.48% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Besiktas win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.54%) and 0-2 (8.26%). The likeliest Hatayspor win was 1-0 (6.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Hatayspor | Draw | Besiktas |
26.48% ( -1.24) | 24.28% ( 0.01) | 49.23% ( 1.22) |
| Both teams to score 55.5% ( -1.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.47% ( -0.94) | 46.53% ( 0.94) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.19% ( -0.89) | 68.8% ( 0.89) |
| Hatayspor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.48% ( -1.43) | 31.52% ( 1.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.09% ( -1.68) | 67.91% ( 1.68) |
| Besiktas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.04% ( 0.12) | 18.96% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.51% ( 0.2) | 50.49% ( -0.21) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hatayspor | Draw | Besiktas |
| 1-0 @ 6.9% ( 0) 2-1 @ 6.62% ( -0.24)2-0 @ 3.98% ( -0.16)3-1 @ 2.55% ( -0.2)3-2 @ 2.12% ( -0.15)3-0 @ 1.53% ( -0.13)Other @ 2.77% Total : 26.48% | 1-1 @ 11.47% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 5.98% ( 0.23)2-2 @ 5.51% ( -0.17)3-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.28% | 0-1 @ 9.94% ( 0.43) 1-2 @ 9.54% ( 0.08)0-2 @ 8.26% ( 0.38)1-3 @ 5.29% ( 0.06)0-3 @ 4.58% ( 0.23)2-3 @ 3.05% ( -0.08)1-4 @ 2.2% ( 0.04)0-4 @ 1.9% ( 0.1)2-4 @ 1.27% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.21% Total : 49.23% |
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