Hatayspor won the reverse fixture 1-0 and although they carry a three-game unbeaten run into Saturday's contest, away victories have been hard to come by in recent weeks.
The hosts will know that they can leapfrog their opponents on Saturday with a win, but we think they may have to settle for a point in what should be a hard-fought contest.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Besiktas win with a probability of 71.07%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Hatayspor had a probability of 11.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Besiktas win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.85%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.17%), while for a Hatayspor win it was 0-1 (3.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
