SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Besiktas win with a probability of 43.87%. A win for Malmo had a probability of 32.3% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Besiktas win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.84%) and 2-0 (6.5%). The likeliest Malmo win was 1-2 (7.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Besiktas in this match.
| Result | ||
| Besiktas | Draw | Malmo |
43.87% ( 4.35) | 23.84% ( -0.36) | 32.3% ( -3.99) |
| Both teams to score 60.86% ( 0.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.84% ( 0.73) | 41.16% ( -0.73) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.45% ( 0.74) | 63.55% ( -0.74) |
| Besiktas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.96% ( 2.27) | 19.03% ( -2.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.39% ( 3.63) | 50.61% ( -3.63) |
| Malmo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.17% ( -1.9) | 24.83% ( 1.9) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.58% ( -2.73) | 59.42% ( 2.72) |
| Score Analysis |
| Besiktas | Draw | Malmo |
| 2-1 @ 9.06% ( 0.46) 1-0 @ 7.84% ( 0.29)2-0 @ 6.5% ( 0.66)3-1 @ 5.01% ( 0.58)3-0 @ 3.6% ( 0.59)3-2 @ 3.49% ( 0.23)4-1 @ 2.08% ( 0.36)4-0 @ 1.49% ( 0.33)4-2 @ 1.45% ( 0.19)Other @ 3.35% Total : 43.87% | 1-1 @ 10.92% ( -0.2) 2-2 @ 6.31% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 4.73% ( -0.16)3-3 @ 1.62% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.26% Total : 23.83% | 1-2 @ 7.61% ( -0.58) 0-1 @ 6.58% ( -0.61)0-2 @ 4.59% ( -0.71)1-3 @ 3.53% ( -0.49)2-3 @ 2.93% ( -0.18)0-3 @ 2.13% ( -0.47)1-4 @ 1.23% ( -0.25)2-4 @ 1.02% ( -0.12)Other @ 2.67% Total : 32.3% |
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