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Sunday, June 30
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Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 27
Feb 27, 2022 at 1pm UK
 

Hatayspor
5 - 2
Yeni M'spor

El Kaabi (21', 34', 84'), Benzia (25'), Saint-Louis (89')
Corekci (68')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Dicko (70' pen., 80')

We said: Hatayspor 2-1 Yeni Malatyaspor

The basement side battled bravely to earn an away draw last time out, but we do not see the same happening again on Sunday. Hatayspor boast a superior squad, and with the addition of home advantage, they should have more than enough to make a return to winning ways. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hatayspor win with a probability of 61.94%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Yeni Malatyaspor had a probability of 15.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hatayspor win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.89%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.47%), while for a Yeni Malatyaspor win it was 0-1 (5.64%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hatayspor would win this match.

Result
HataysporDrawYeni Malatyaspor
61.94%22.08%15.97%
Both teams to score 47.1%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.97%50.03%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.99%72%
Hatayspor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.37%15.63%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.36%44.64%
Yeni Malatyaspor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.83%44.17%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.74%80.26%
Score Analysis
    Hatayspor 61.94%
    Yeni Malatyaspor 15.97%
    Draw 22.08%
HataysporDrawYeni Malatyaspor
1-0 @ 12.81%
2-0 @ 11.89%
2-1 @ 9.72%
3-0 @ 7.36%
3-1 @ 6.01%
4-0 @ 3.41%
4-1 @ 2.79%
3-2 @ 2.46%
5-0 @ 1.27%
4-2 @ 1.14%
5-1 @ 1.04%
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 61.94%
1-1 @ 10.47%
0-0 @ 6.9%
2-2 @ 3.97%
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 22.08%
0-1 @ 5.64%
1-2 @ 4.28%
0-2 @ 2.31%
1-3 @ 1.17%
2-3 @ 1.08%
Other @ 1.5%
Total : 15.97%

Read more!
Read more!


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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