SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Istanbulspor win with a probability of 40.19%. A win for Gaziantep had a probability of 34.05% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Istanbulspor win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.65%) and 2-0 (6.75%). The likeliest Gaziantep win was 0-1 (8.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Gaziantep would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Istanbulspor | Draw | Gaziantep |
40.19% ( 0.32) | 25.76% ( -0.03) | 34.05% ( -0.29) |
| Both teams to score 54.74% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.61% ( 0.06) | 49.39% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.57% ( 0.05) | 71.43% ( -0.05) |
| Istanbulspor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.73% ( 0.19) | 24.26% ( -0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.37% ( 0.27) | 58.63% ( -0.27) |
| Gaziantep Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.27% ( -0.15) | 27.72% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.71% ( -0.19) | 63.29% ( 0.2) |
| Score Analysis |
| Istanbulspor | Draw | Gaziantep |
| 1-0 @ 9.53% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 8.65% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 6.75% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 4.09% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 3.19% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 2.62% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.45% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.13% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 0.93% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.87% Total : 40.19% | 1-1 @ 12.22% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.73% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.55% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.12% ( 0)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.75% | 0-1 @ 8.63% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 7.84% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 5.54% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 3.35% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.37% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.37% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 1.08% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.88% Total : 34.05% |
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