Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 66.87%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Gaziantep had a probability of 13.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.83%) and 1-2 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.4%), while for a Gaziantep win it was 1-0 (4.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fenerbahce would win this match.
Result | ||
Gaziantep | Draw | Fenerbahce |
13.36% ( -0.42) | 19.77% | 66.87% ( 0.42) |
Both teams to score 47.87% ( -1.16) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.45% ( -0.93) | 45.55% ( 0.93) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.12% ( -0.89) | 67.87% ( 0.89) |
Gaziantep Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
54.83% ( -1.22) | 45.17% ( 1.22) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
18.93% ( -0.99) | 81.07% ( 0.98) |
Fenerbahce Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.31% ( -0.16) | 12.69% ( 0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.11% ( -0.33) | 38.88% ( 0.33) |
Score Analysis |
Gaziantep | Draw | Fenerbahce |
1-0 @ 4.56% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 3.74% ( -0.13) 2-0 @ 1.81% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 1.02% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 0.99% ( -0.07) Other @ 1.24% Total : 13.36% | 1-1 @ 9.4% 0-0 @ 5.73% ( 0.22) 2-2 @ 3.86% ( -0.16) Other @ 0.78% Total : 19.77% | 0-2 @ 12.21% ( 0.34) 0-1 @ 11.83% ( 0.4) 1-2 @ 9.71% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 8.4% ( 0.18) 1-3 @ 6.68% ( -0.08) 0-4 @ 4.34% ( 0.07) 1-4 @ 3.45% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 2.66% ( -0.12) 0-5 @ 1.79% ( 0.02) 1-5 @ 1.42% ( -0.03) 2-4 @ 1.37% ( -0.07) Other @ 3.01% Total : 66.86% |
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