Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Galatasaray win with a probability of 50.29%. A win for Kasimpasa had a probability of 26.32% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Galatasaray win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.94%) and 0-2 (7.9%). The likeliest Kasimpasa win was 2-1 (6.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.