Kayserispor have won all three home games this season, but they face a tough test on Saturday when they come up against the current Turkish Super Lig champions.
Although we expect the hosts to remain unbeaten on home turf, we think that Trabzonspor have enough quality to take a point from the contest.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Trabzonspor win with a probability of 43.03%. A win for Kayserispor had a probability of 31.75% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Trabzonspor win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9%) and 0-2 (7.14%). The likeliest Kayserispor win was 1-0 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Trabzonspor would win this match.
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