SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Galatasaray | 5 | 2 | 10 |
| 8 | Trabzonspor | 5 | 1 | 10 |
| 9 | Kayserispor | 5 | -1 | 6 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Trabzonspor win with a probability of 44.58%. A win for Ferencvaros had a probability of 34.15% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Trabzonspor win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.52%) and 2-3 (4.82%). The likeliest Ferencvaros win was 2-1 (7.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.21%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Ferencvaros would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ferencvaros | Draw | Trabzonspor |
34.15% ( 0.18) | 21.26% ( -0) | 44.58% ( -0.19) |
| Both teams to score 71.47% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 72.36% ( 0.08) | 27.63% ( -0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 51.71% ( 0.1) | 48.29% ( -0.1) |
| Ferencvaros Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.54% ( 0.12) | 17.45% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.08% ( 0.22) | 47.92% ( -0.22) |
| Trabzonspor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.58% ( -0.03) | 13.42% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.63% ( -0.06) | 40.36% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ferencvaros | Draw | Trabzonspor |
| 2-1 @ 7.17% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 4.19% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 4.17% ( 0.03)1-0 @ 4.09% ( -0)2-0 @ 3.57% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.08% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.83% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.82% ( 0.02)4-3 @ 1.22% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 0.91% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.12% Total : 34.15% | 1-1 @ 8.21% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 7.2% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 2.81% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 2.34% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.71% Total : 21.26% | 1-2 @ 8.25% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 5.52% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 4.82% 0-2 @ 4.72% ( -0.03)0-1 @ 4.7% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 3.16% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 2.77% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 2.42% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.59% ( -0.01)3-4 @ 1.41% ( 0)1-5 @ 1.11% ( -0.01)2-5 @ 0.97% ( -0)Other @ 3.12% Total : 44.58% |
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