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Europa League | Group Stage
Sep 15, 2022 at 5.45pm UK
Şenol Güneş Spor Kompleksi
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Trabzonspor
2 - 1
Red Star

Hamsik (16'), Trezeguet (68')
Djaniny (50'), Elmali (90')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Nikolic (89')
Kangwa (6'), Sanogo (52'), Katai (83')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Red Star 0-1 Monaco
Thursday, September 8 at 8pm in Europa League

We said: Trabzonspor 1-1 Red Star Belgrade

We put these two sides on a relatively level playing field, and with Trabzonspor yet to hit the heights they displayed last season, we think the Serbian outfit have enough to leave with a share of the points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Trabzonspor win with a probability of 41.91%. A win for Red Star Belgrade had a probability of 32.93% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Trabzonspor win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.89%) and 2-0 (6.84%). The likeliest Red Star Belgrade win was 0-1 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Trabzonspor would win this match.

Result
TrabzonsporDrawRed Star Belgrade
41.91% (0.022999999999996 0.02) 25.16% (0.033000000000001 0.03) 32.93% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)
Both teams to score 56.43% (-0.138 -0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.94% (-0.167 -0.17)47.05% (0.168 0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.7% (-0.157 -0.16)69.3% (0.158 0.16)
Trabzonspor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.61% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)22.39% (0.063000000000002 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.11% (-0.092000000000006 -0.09)55.89% (0.091000000000001 0.09)
Red Star Belgrade Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.71% (-0.11799999999999 -0.12)27.29% (0.118 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.27% (-0.153 -0.15)62.73% (0.154 0.15)
Score Analysis
    Trabzonspor 41.91%
    Red Star Belgrade 32.93%
    Draw 25.16%
TrabzonsporDrawRed Star Belgrade
1-0 @ 9.14% (0.048 0.05)
2-1 @ 8.89% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-0 @ 6.84% (0.023 0.02)
3-1 @ 4.43% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.42% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.88% (-0.015 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.66% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.28%
4-2 @ 1.08% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 41.91%
1-1 @ 11.87% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 6.11% (0.043 0.04)
2-2 @ 5.77% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.25% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.16%
0-1 @ 7.93% (0.03 0.03)
1-2 @ 7.71% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.15% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 3.34% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.5% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.23% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.08% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 32.93%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Adana Demirspor 3-2 Trabzonspor
Monday, September 12 at 7.30pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Ferencvaros 3-2 Trabzonspor
Thursday, September 8 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Umraniyespor 0-1 Trabzonspor
Friday, September 2 at 7pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Trabzonspor 0-0 Galatasaray
Sunday, August 28 at 7.45pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Trabzonspor 0-0 Copenhagen
Wednesday, August 24 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Antalyaspor 5-2 Trabzonspor
Saturday, August 20 at 7.45pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Red Star 0-1 Monaco
Thursday, September 8 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Red Star 2-2 Maccabi Haifa
Tuesday, August 23 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Maccabi Haifa 3-2 Red Star
Wednesday, August 17 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Pyunik 0-2 Red Star
Tuesday, August 9 at 6pm in Champions League
Last Game: Red Star 5-0 Pyunik
Wednesday, August 3 at 7.45pm in Champions League
Last Game: Red Star 2-1 Rangers
Thursday, March 17 at 5.45pm in Europa League


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