SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kayserispor win with a probability of 65.71%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Umraniyespor had a probability of 15.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kayserispor win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.7%) and 1-0 (8.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.63%), while for a Umraniyespor win it was 1-2 (4.36%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kayserispor would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Kayserispor | Draw | Umraniyespor |
65.71% ( 0.13) | 18.8% ( -0.09) | 15.49% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 57% ( 0.24) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.63% ( 0.36) | 36.37% ( -0.36) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.5% ( 0.39) | 58.5% ( -0.39) |
| Kayserispor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.66% ( 0.13) | 10.34% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 66.19% ( 0.3) | 33.81% ( -0.3) |
| Umraniyespor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.58% ( 0.17) | 36.42% ( -0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.79% ( 0.17) | 73.21% ( -0.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kayserispor | Draw | Umraniyespor |
| 2-1 @ 9.79% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 9.7% ( -0.06)1-0 @ 8.55% ( -0.1)3-1 @ 7.41% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 7.33% ( -0)4-1 @ 4.2% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 4.16% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.74% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 2.12% ( 0.03)5-1 @ 1.91% ( 0.03)5-0 @ 1.89% ( 0.02)5-2 @ 0.96% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.95% Total : 65.71% | 1-1 @ 8.63% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 4.95% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 3.77% ( -0.07)3-3 @ 1.26% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.2% Total : 18.8% | 1-2 @ 4.36% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 3.81% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 1.92% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.67% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.47% ( 0)Other @ 2.27% Total : 15.49% |
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