Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Samsunspor win with a probability of 43.69%. A win for Alanyaspor had a probability of 30.45% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Samsunspor win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.99%) and 2-0 (7.64%). The likeliest Alanyaspor win was 0-1 (8.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Samsunspor | Draw | Alanyaspor |
43.69% ( -0.37) | 25.85% ( 0.22) | 30.45% ( 0.15) |
Both teams to score 53.13% ( -0.63) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.11% ( -0.85) | 50.88% ( 0.85) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.23% ( -0.76) | 72.76% ( 0.75) |
Samsunspor Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.82% ( -0.54) | 23.18% ( 0.54) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.93% ( -0.8) | 57.06% ( 0.79) |
Alanyaspor Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.16% ( -0.33) | 30.83% ( 0.33) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.88% ( -0.39) | 67.11% ( 0.39) |
Score Analysis |
Samsunspor | Draw | Alanyaspor |
1-0 @ 10.44% ( 0.19) 2-1 @ 8.99% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 7.64% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 4.38% ( -0.1) 3-0 @ 3.72% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 2.58% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 1.6% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 1.36% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 0.94% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.04% Total : 43.68% | 1-1 @ 12.29% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 7.15% ( 0.24) 2-2 @ 5.29% ( -0.09) 3-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.85% | 0-1 @ 8.41% ( 0.21) 1-2 @ 7.23% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.95% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 2.84% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.07% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 1.94% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.01% Total : 30.45% |
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