SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alanyaspor win with a probability of 49.16%. A win for Samsunspor had a probability of 26.9% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alanyaspor win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.4%) and 2-0 (7.99%). The likeliest Samsunspor win was 1-2 (6.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.24%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Alanyaspor would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Alanyaspor | Draw | Samsunspor |
49.16% ( 0.14) | 23.95% ( -0.04) | 26.9% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 56.98% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.27% ( 0.13) | 44.74% ( -0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.9% ( 0.12) | 67.1% ( -0.12) |
| Alanyaspor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.71% ( 0.1) | 18.3% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.63% ( 0.17) | 49.37% ( -0.17) |
| Samsunspor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.74% ( -0) | 30.26% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.57% ( -0.01) | 66.43% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Alanyaspor | Draw | Samsunspor |
| 2-1 @ 9.55% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 9.4% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 7.99% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 5.4% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 4.52% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.23% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.3% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.92% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.37% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.48% Total : 49.16% | 1-1 @ 11.24% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.71% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 5.54% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.29% ( 0)Other @ 0.18% Total : 23.95% | 1-2 @ 6.72% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 6.62% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 3.96% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.68% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.27% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.58% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.08% Total : 26.9% |
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