SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 79.95%. A draw had a probability of 12.7% and a win for Ankaragucu had a probability of 7.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.26%) and 2-1 (8.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.87%), while for an Ankaragucu win it was 1-2 (2.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Fenerbahce in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Fenerbahce.
| Result | ||
| Fenerbahce | Draw | Ankaragucu |
79.95% ( 0.11) | 12.7% ( -0.04) | 7.35% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 50.9% ( -0.25) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 70.28% ( -0.11) | 29.72% ( 0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 49.15% ( -0.13) | 50.85% ( 0.13) |
| Fenerbahce Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 94.24% ( 0) | 5.75% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 77.81% ( -0.01) | 22.19% ( 0.01) |
| Ankaragucu Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54% ( -0.27) | 45.99% ( 0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.28% ( -0.2) | 81.71% ( 0.21) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fenerbahce | Draw | Ankaragucu |
| 2-0 @ 10.78% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 10.26% ( 0.06)2-1 @ 8.38% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 7.97% ( -0.01)1-0 @ 7.56% ( 0.05)4-0 @ 7.33% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 5.69% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 4.18% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 3.25% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.1% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 2.21% ( -0.02)6-0 @ 1.99% ( 0.01)6-1 @ 1.55% ( -0)5-2 @ 1.26% ( -0.01)Other @ 4.42% Total : 79.93% | 1-1 @ 5.87% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 3.25% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 2.65% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.92% Total : 12.7% | 1-2 @ 2.28% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 2.06% ( -0)Other @ 3.02% Total : 7.35% |
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