SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 55.34%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Samsunspor had a probability of 20.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.59%) and 1-2 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.51%), while for a Samsunspor win it was 1-0 (6.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Samsunspor | Draw | Fenerbahce |
20.37% ( 0.53) | 24.28% ( 0.05) | 55.34% ( -0.58) |
| Both teams to score 48.4% ( 0.62) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.57% ( 0.42) | 52.43% ( -0.42) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.89% ( 0.36) | 74.11% ( -0.36) |
| Samsunspor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.63% ( 0.81) | 40.36% ( -0.82) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.02% ( 0.73) | 76.98% ( -0.73) |
| Fenerbahce Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.16% ( -0.06) | 18.84% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.72% ( -0.11) | 50.28% ( 0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Samsunspor | Draw | Fenerbahce |
| 1-0 @ 6.9% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 5.22% ( 0.13)2-0 @ 3.13% ( 0.09)3-1 @ 1.58% ( 0.08)3-2 @ 1.32% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 0.95% ( 0.05)Other @ 1.28% Total : 20.37% | 1-1 @ 11.51% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 7.6% ( -0.13)2-2 @ 4.36% ( 0.1)Other @ 0.81% Total : 24.28% | 0-1 @ 12.69% ( -0.24) 0-2 @ 10.59% ( -0.22)1-2 @ 9.61% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 5.9% ( -0.14)1-3 @ 5.35% ( -0)0-4 @ 2.46% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 2.43% ( 0.05)1-4 @ 2.23% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.01% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.07% Total : 55.34% |
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