SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kasimpasa win with a probability of 39.93%. A win for Samsunspor had a probability of 34.23% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kasimpasa win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.62%) and 2-0 (6.73%). The likeliest Samsunspor win was 0-1 (8.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Samsunspor would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Kasimpasa | Draw | Samsunspor |
39.93% ( 0.03) | 25.84% ( 0.02) | 34.23% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 54.5% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.29% ( -0.07) | 49.71% ( 0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.28% ( -0.07) | 71.72% ( 0.07) |
| Kasimpasa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.46% ( -0.02) | 24.54% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.98% ( -0.03) | 59.02% ( 0.03) |
| Samsunspor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.23% ( -0.06) | 27.77% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.65% ( -0.08) | 63.35% ( 0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kasimpasa | Draw | Samsunspor |
| 1-0 @ 9.58% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.62% ( 0)2-0 @ 6.73% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.03% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.15% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.58% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.42% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.11% ( 0)4-2 @ 0.91% ( -0)Other @ 1.82% Total : 39.93% | 1-1 @ 12.26% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.82% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 5.52% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.1% ( -0)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.83% | 0-1 @ 8.73% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.86% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 5.59% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.36% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.39% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.36% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.08% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.87% Total : 34.23% |
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