Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 4
Nov 8, 2023 at 5pm UK
Stadyum Samsun
We said: Samsunspor 1-1 Istanbulspor
This is a very close match on paper, though the hosts are the marginal favourites due to the home-ground advantage. We are not convinced that either of these sides will be able to secure the win here and fancy this one to end level at the full-time whistle.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Samsunspor win with a probability of 63.75%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Istanbulspor had a probability of 15.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Samsunspor win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.69%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.98%), while for a Istanbulspor win it was 0-1 (5.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Samsunspor would win this match.
| Result |
| Samsunspor | Draw | Istanbulspor |
63.75% ( -0.11) | 20.99% ( 0) | 15.26% ( 0.11) |
| Both teams to score 48.84% ( 0.25) |
| 53.17% ( 0.2) | 46.83% ( -0.2) |
| 30.91% ( 0.19) | 69.09% ( -0.19) |
| 85.99% ( 0.03) | 14.01% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 58.46% ( 0.06) | 41.54% ( -0.05) |
| 56.8% ( 0.27) | 43.2% ( -0.27) |
