SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 54.36%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Sivasspor had a probability of 21.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.76%) and 0-2 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.27%), while for a Sivasspor win it was 1-0 (6.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sivasspor | Draw | Fiorentina |
21.92% ( 0.02) | 23.72% ( 0.09) | 54.36% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 52.25% ( -0.28) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.58% ( -0.38) | 48.42% ( 0.38) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.44% ( -0.35) | 70.55% ( 0.35) |
| Sivasspor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.49% ( -0.2) | 36.51% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.7% ( -0.2) | 73.3% ( 0.2) |
| Fiorentina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.29% ( -0.18) | 17.71% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.64% ( -0.31) | 48.36% ( 0.31) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sivasspor | Draw | Fiorentina |
| 1-0 @ 6.51% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 5.68% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 3.28% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 1.91% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.65% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 1.1% ( -0)Other @ 1.78% Total : 21.92% | 1-1 @ 11.27% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 6.47% ( 0.1)2-2 @ 4.92% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.11% Total : 23.72% | 0-1 @ 11.19% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 9.76% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 9.69% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 5.63% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 5.59% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.84% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 2.44% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 2.42% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.23% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.57% Total : 54.35% |
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