SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 58.95%. A win for Fatih Karagumruk had a probability of 21.1% and a draw had a probability of 20%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.49%) and 1-3 (7.07%). The likeliest Fatih Karagumruk win was 2-1 (5.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Fenerbahce in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Fenerbahce.
| Result | ||
| Fatih Karagumruk | Draw | Fenerbahce |
21.1% ( -0.38) | 19.95% ( -0.15) | 58.95% ( 0.53) |
| Both teams to score 64.23% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.89% ( 0.21) | 32.11% ( -0.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 46.31% ( 0.25) | 53.69% ( -0.25) |
| Fatih Karagumruk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.01% ( -0.2) | 27.99% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.37% ( -0.25) | 63.63% ( 0.25) |
| Fenerbahce Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.2% ( 0.2) | 10.8% ( -0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 65.16% ( 0.45) | 34.84% ( -0.45) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fatih Karagumruk | Draw | Fenerbahce |
| 2-1 @ 5.46% ( -0.08) 1-0 @ 3.85% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 2.58% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 2.45% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 2.32% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 1.04% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.41% Total : 21.1% | 1-1 @ 8.57% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 6.07% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 3.02% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.91% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.38% Total : 19.95% | 1-2 @ 9.53% ( -0) 0-2 @ 7.49% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 7.07% ( 0.06)0-1 @ 6.73% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 5.55% ( 0.08)2-3 @ 4.5% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 3.94% ( 0.07)0-4 @ 3.09% ( 0.07)2-4 @ 2.51% ( 0.03)1-5 @ 1.75% ( 0.04)0-5 @ 1.38% ( 0.04)2-5 @ 1.12% ( 0.02)3-4 @ 1.06% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.23% Total : 58.95% |
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