SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Istanbul Basaksehir win with a probability of 56.25%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Sivasspor had a probability of 19.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Istanbul Basaksehir win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.72%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.36%), while for a Sivasspor win it was 0-1 (6.69%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Istanbul Basaksehir would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Istanbul Basaksehir | Draw | Sivasspor |
56.25% ( -0.94) | 23.95% ( 0.13) | 19.79% ( 0.8) |
| Both teams to score 48.51% ( 0.87) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.16% ( 0.49) | 51.83% ( -0.5) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.4% ( 0.43) | 73.59% ( -0.43) |
| Istanbul Basaksehir Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.73% ( -0.16) | 18.27% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.67% ( -0.28) | 49.32% ( 0.27) |
| Sivasspor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.35% ( 1.18) | 40.64% ( -1.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.76% ( 1.04) | 77.23% ( -1.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Istanbul Basaksehir | Draw | Sivasspor |
| 1-0 @ 12.62% ( -0.32) 2-0 @ 10.72% ( -0.33)2-1 @ 9.66% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 6.08% ( -0.22)3-1 @ 5.47% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 2.58% ( -0.11)3-2 @ 2.46% ( 0.07)4-1 @ 2.33% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.05% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.27% Total : 56.24% | 1-1 @ 11.36% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 7.42% ( -0.15)2-2 @ 4.35% ( 0.15)Other @ 0.82% Total : 23.95% | 0-1 @ 6.69% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 5.12% ( 0.2)0-2 @ 3.01% ( 0.13)1-3 @ 1.54% ( 0.11)2-3 @ 1.31% ( 0.08)0-3 @ 0.9% ( 0.07)Other @ 1.24% Total : 19.79% |
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