SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fatih Karagumruk win with a probability of 51.53%. A win for Umraniyespor had a probability of 27.01% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fatih Karagumruk win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.48%) and 1-0 (6.38%). The likeliest Umraniyespor win was 1-2 (6.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.12%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fatih Karagumruk would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fatih Karagumruk | Draw | Umraniyespor |
51.53% ( -1.14) | 21.45% ( -0.07) | 27.01% ( 1.2) |
| Both teams to score 66.06% ( 1.46) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.16% ( 1.41) | 32.83% ( -1.42) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.47% ( 1.62) | 54.52% ( -1.62) |
| Fatih Karagumruk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.88% ( 0.14) | 13.12% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.23% ( 0.28) | 39.76% ( -0.29) |
| Umraniyespor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.04% ( 1.56) | 23.96% ( -1.57) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.81% ( 2.19) | 58.19% ( -2.19) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fatih Karagumruk | Draw | Umraniyespor |
| 2-1 @ 9.26% ( -0.17) 2-0 @ 6.48% ( -0.43)1-0 @ 6.38% ( -0.46)3-1 @ 6.27% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 4.48% ( 0.14)3-0 @ 4.39% ( -0.26)4-1 @ 3.19% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 2.28% ( 0.09)4-0 @ 2.23% ( -0.12)5-1 @ 1.29% ( -0)4-3 @ 1.08% ( 0.09)5-2 @ 0.92% ( 0.04)5-0 @ 0.91% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.36% Total : 51.53% | 1-1 @ 9.12% ( -0.22) 2-2 @ 6.62% ( 0.18)0-0 @ 3.14% ( -0.24)3-3 @ 2.13% ( 0.16)Other @ 0.44% Total : 21.45% | 1-2 @ 6.52% ( 0.14) 0-1 @ 4.49% ( -0.13)0-2 @ 3.21% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 3.15% ( 0.22)1-3 @ 3.1% ( 0.2)0-3 @ 1.53% ( 0.09)2-4 @ 1.13% ( 0.13)1-4 @ 1.11% ( 0.12)Other @ 2.78% Total : 27.01% |
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