SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 38.94%. A win for Trabzonspor had a probability of 35.76% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.54%) and 0-2 (6.27%). The likeliest Trabzonspor win was 1-0 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fenerbahce would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Trabzonspor | Draw | Fenerbahce |
35.76% ( 0.72) | 25.3% ( 0.1) | 38.94% ( -0.81) |
| Both teams to score 56.61% ( -0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.9% ( -0.34) | 47.1% ( 0.34) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.66% ( -0.32) | 69.34% ( 0.32) |
| Trabzonspor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.38% ( 0.26) | 25.62% ( -0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.49% ( 0.35) | 60.51% ( -0.34) |
| Fenerbahce Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.11% ( -0.57) | 23.89% ( 0.57) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.91% ( -0.82) | 58.09% ( 0.83) |
| Score Analysis |
| Trabzonspor | Draw | Fenerbahce |
| 1-0 @ 8.34% ( 0.18) 2-1 @ 8.13% ( 0.1)2-0 @ 5.68% ( 0.16)3-1 @ 3.69% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 2.64% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.58% ( 0.09)4-1 @ 1.26% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.47% Total : 35.76% | 1-1 @ 11.93% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 6.12% ( 0.09)2-2 @ 5.82% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.26% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.29% | 0-1 @ 8.76% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 8.54% ( -0.1)0-2 @ 6.27% ( -0.12)1-3 @ 4.08% ( -0.12)0-3 @ 2.99% ( -0.11)2-3 @ 2.78% ( -0.06)1-4 @ 1.46% ( -0.07)0-4 @ 1.07% ( -0.06)2-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.99% Total : 38.94% |
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