SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 48.25%. A win for Galatasaray had a probability of 29.51% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.65%) and 2-0 (6.32%). The likeliest Galatasaray win was 1-2 (7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Fenerbahce | Draw | Galatasaray |
48.25% ( -1.38) | 22.24% ( 0.2) | 29.51% ( 1.18) |
| Both teams to score 65.16% ( 0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.15% ( -0.17) | 34.86% ( 0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.17% ( -0.19) | 56.83% ( 0.19) |
| Fenerbahce Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.09% ( -0.53) | 14.91% ( 0.53) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.72% ( -1.01) | 43.29% ( 1.01) |
| Galatasaray Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.58% ( 0.65) | 23.42% ( -0.65) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.58% ( 0.93) | 57.42% ( -0.93) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fenerbahce | Draw | Galatasaray |
| 2-1 @ 9.18% ( -0.09) 1-0 @ 6.65% ( -0.07)2-0 @ 6.32% ( -0.19)3-1 @ 5.82% ( -0.17)3-2 @ 4.23% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 4.01% ( -0.2)4-1 @ 2.77% ( -0.13)4-2 @ 2.01% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 1.91% ( -0.13)5-1 @ 1.06% ( -0.07)4-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.33% Total : 48.26% | 1-1 @ 9.65% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 6.66% ( 0.06)0-0 @ 3.49% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 2.05% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.4% Total : 22.24% | 1-2 @ 7% ( 0.19) 0-1 @ 5.07% ( 0.14)0-2 @ 3.68% ( 0.17)1-3 @ 3.39% ( 0.16)2-3 @ 3.22% ( 0.09)0-3 @ 1.78% ( 0.11)1-4 @ 1.23% ( 0.08)2-4 @ 1.17% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.97% Total : 29.51% |
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