SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 56.82%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Kasimpasa had a probability of 20.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.91%) and 0-2 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.58%), while for a Kasimpasa win it was 1-0 (5.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fenerbahce would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Kasimpasa | Draw | Fenerbahce |
20.74% ( -0.14) | 22.43% ( -0.05) | 56.82% ( 0.19) |
| Both teams to score 54.72% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.7% ( 0.05) | 44.3% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.32% ( 0.05) | 66.68% ( -0.05) |
| Kasimpasa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.67% ( -0.1) | 35.33% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.91% ( -0.11) | 72.09% ( 0.11) |
| Fenerbahce Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.62% ( 0.08) | 15.38% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.83% ( 0.15) | 44.16% ( -0.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kasimpasa | Draw | Fenerbahce |
| 1-0 @ 5.65% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 5.51% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 2.94% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 1.91% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.79% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.02% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.93% Total : 20.74% | 1-1 @ 10.58% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.43% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.15% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.12% ( -0)Other @ 0.15% Total : 22.43% | 0-1 @ 10.17% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 9.91% ( 0)0-2 @ 9.52% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 6.18% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 5.94% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 3.22% ( 0)1-4 @ 2.9% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 2.78% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.51% ( 0.01)1-5 @ 1.08% ( 0.01)0-5 @ 1.04% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.57% Total : 56.82% |
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