Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Galatasaray win with a probability of 69.14%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Fiorentina had a probability of 12.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Galatasaray win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.49%) and 2-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.69%), while for a Fiorentina win it was 0-1 (3.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.
22.64) 
-5.94) 
