Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Galatasaray win with a probability of 53.72%. A win for Kasimpasa had a probability of 23.29% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Galatasaray win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.63%) and 2-0 (8.76%). The likeliest Kasimpasa win was 1-2 (6.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Galatasaray in this match.
-0.42) 
0.04) 
