Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Basel win with a probability of 53.41%. A win for FC Zurich had a probability of 25.03% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Basel win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.21%) and 1-0 (7.17%). The likeliest FC Zurich win was 1-2 (6.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.
