Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Young Boys win with a probability of 40.19%. A win for Basel had a probability of 35.94% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Young Boys win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.26%) and 0-2 (5.78%). The likeliest Basel win was 2-1 (8.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Young Boys would win this match.