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Swiss Super League | Gameweek 29
Apr 18, 2021 at 3pm UK
St. Jakob-Park
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Basel
5 - 0
Servette

Frei (3' pen.), Kasami (6'), van Wolfswinkel (9'), Pululu (86' pen., 87')
Zhegrova (42')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Diallo (26')
Sauthier (34')
Coverage of the Swiss Super League clash between Basel and Servette.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Basel win with a probability of 39.51%. A win for Servette had a probability of 37.83% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Basel win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.76%) and 2-0 (4.95%). The likeliest Servette win was 1-2 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.67%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Basel would win this match.

Result
BaselDrawServette
39.51%22.66%37.83%
Both teams to score 66.71%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.92%34.08%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.04%55.96%
Basel Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.05%17.95%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.22%48.79%
Servette Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.31%18.7%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.96%50.05%
Score Analysis
    Basel 39.51%
    Servette 37.83%
    Draw 22.66%
BaselDrawServette
2-1 @ 8.3%
1-0 @ 5.76%
2-0 @ 4.95%
3-1 @ 4.75%
3-2 @ 3.98%
3-0 @ 2.83%
4-1 @ 2.04%
4-2 @ 1.71%
4-0 @ 1.22%
4-3 @ 0.96%
Other @ 3%
Total : 39.51%
1-1 @ 9.67%
2-2 @ 6.96%
0-0 @ 3.36%
3-3 @ 2.23%
Other @ 0.45%
Total : 22.66%
1-2 @ 8.11%
0-1 @ 5.63%
0-2 @ 4.72%
1-3 @ 4.53%
2-3 @ 3.89%
0-3 @ 2.64%
1-4 @ 1.9%
2-4 @ 1.63%
0-4 @ 1.11%
3-4 @ 0.93%
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 37.83%

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