SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Basel win with a probability of 63.05%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Sion had a probability of 16.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Basel win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.11%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.63%), while for a Sion win it was 0-1 (4.66%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Basel would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Basel | Draw | Sion |
63.05% ( 0.03) | 20.42% ( 0.01) | 16.52% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 53.61% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.05% ( -0.08) | 41.95% ( 0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.64% ( -0.08) | 64.35% ( 0.08) |
| Basel Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.31% ( -0.02) | 12.69% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.11% ( -0.04) | 38.88% ( 0.04) |
| Sion Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.4% ( -0.09) | 38.6% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.66% ( -0.08) | 75.34% ( 0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Basel | Draw | Sion |
| 2-0 @ 10.43% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 10.11% ( 0.03)2-1 @ 9.94% ( -0)3-0 @ 7.18% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 6.84% ( -0)4-0 @ 3.71% ( 0)4-1 @ 3.53% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.26% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.68% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.53% 5-1 @ 1.46% ( -0)Other @ 3.4% Total : 63.05% | 1-1 @ 9.63% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.9% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 4.73% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.14% Total : 20.42% | 0-1 @ 4.66% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 4.58% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 2.22% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.45% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.1% Total : 16.52% |
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