SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Basel win with a probability of 64.53%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Luzern had a probability of 16.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Basel win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.78%) and 1-0 (8.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.95%), while for a Luzern win it was 1-2 (4.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Basel | Draw | Luzern |
64.53% ( 0.04) | 19.35% ( -0.1) | 16.12% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 56.49% ( 0.48) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.26% ( 0.56) | 37.74% ( -0.56) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.02% ( 0.6) | 59.98% ( -0.6) |
| Basel Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.97% ( 0.17) | 11.03% ( -0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.65% ( 0.38) | 35.35% ( -0.38) |
| Luzern Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.5% ( 0.42) | 36.5% ( -0.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.71% ( 0.42) | 73.29% ( -0.42) |
| Score Analysis |
| Basel | Draw | Luzern |
| 2-1 @ 9.86% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.78% ( -0.13)1-0 @ 8.88% ( -0.18)3-1 @ 7.25% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 7.19% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 3.99% ( 0.05)4-0 @ 3.96% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.65% ( 0.06)4-2 @ 2.01% ( 0.05)5-1 @ 1.76% ( 0.03)5-0 @ 1.75% ( 0.02)Other @ 4.45% Total : 64.53% | 1-1 @ 8.95% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 4.97% ( 0.05)0-0 @ 4.03% ( -0.11)3-3 @ 1.23% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.19% Total : 19.35% | 1-2 @ 4.51% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 4.06% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 2.05% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.67% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 1.51% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.33% Total : 16.12% |
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