Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Gallen win with a probability of 54.93%. A win for Sion had a probability of 23.06% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Gallen win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.51%) and 0-2 (8.26%). The likeliest Sion win was 2-1 (5.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-7 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Gallen would win this match.
Result | ||
Sion | Draw | St Gallen |
23.06% ( -2.08) | 22.01% ( -0.59) | 54.93% ( 2.67) |
Both teams to score 59.49% ( -0.41) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.47% ( 0.57) | 39.53% ( -0.57) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.13% ( 0.59) | 61.88% ( -0.59) |
Sion Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.47% ( -1.37) | 30.53% ( 1.38) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.24% ( -1.67) | 66.76% ( 1.67) |
St Gallen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.64% ( 1.09) | 14.36% ( -1.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.78% ( 2.06) | 42.23% ( -2.06) |
Score Analysis |
Sion | Draw | St Gallen |
2-1 @ 5.99% ( -0.4) 1-0 @ 5.2% ( -0.35) 2-0 @ 3.09% ( -0.33) 3-1 @ 2.37% ( -0.26) 3-2 @ 2.3% ( -0.15) 3-0 @ 1.22% ( -0.19) Other @ 2.9% Total : 23.06% | 1-1 @ 10.09% ( -0.27) 2-2 @ 5.81% ( -0.16) 0-0 @ 4.38% ( -0.12) 3-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.24% Total : 22.01% | 1-2 @ 9.8% ( 0.11) 0-1 @ 8.51% ( 0.1) 0-2 @ 8.26% ( 0.4) 1-3 @ 6.34% ( 0.31) 0-3 @ 5.34% ( 0.45) 2-3 @ 3.76% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 3.08% ( 0.26) 0-4 @ 2.59% ( 0.31) 2-4 @ 1.82% ( 0.09) 1-5 @ 1.19% ( 0.14) 0-5 @ 1.01% ( 0.15) Other @ 3.24% Total : 54.93% |
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