SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luzern win with a probability of 42.06%. A win for Basel had a probability of 33.24% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luzern win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.59%) and 2-0 (6.63%). The likeliest Basel win was 1-2 (7.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.55%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Luzern | Draw | Basel |
42.06% ( 0.67) | 24.7% ( -0.07) | 33.24% ( -0.6) |
| Both teams to score 58.13% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.11% ( 0.15) | 44.89% ( -0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.75% ( 0.14) | 67.24% ( -0.15) |
| Luzern Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.61% ( 0.38) | 21.38% ( -0.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.63% ( 0.58) | 54.37% ( -0.58) |
| Basel Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.95% ( -0.29) | 26.05% ( 0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.9% ( -0.39) | 61.09% ( 0.38) |
| Score Analysis |
| Luzern | Draw | Basel |
| 2-1 @ 8.92% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 8.59% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 6.63% ( 0.11)3-1 @ 4.58% ( 0.09)3-0 @ 3.41% ( 0.09)3-2 @ 3.08% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 1.77% ( 0.05)4-0 @ 1.31% ( 0.05)4-2 @ 1.19% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.58% Total : 42.06% | 1-1 @ 11.55% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 6% 0-0 @ 5.57% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.38% ( 0)Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.69% | 1-2 @ 7.77% ( -0.09) 0-1 @ 7.49% ( -0.11)0-2 @ 5.04% ( -0.12)1-3 @ 3.49% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 2.69% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 2.26% ( -0.07)1-4 @ 1.17% ( -0.03)2-4 @ 0.9% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.42% Total : 33.24% |
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