SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lugano win with a probability of 43.82%. A win for Sion had a probability of 31.13% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lugano win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.08%) and 0-2 (7.24%). The likeliest Sion win was 1-0 (7.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lugano would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sion | Draw | Lugano |
31.13% ( 0.04) | 25.05% ( -0.07) | 43.82% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 56.08% ( 0.27) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.81% ( 0.35) | 47.19% ( -0.34) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.58% ( 0.32) | 69.42% ( -0.32) |
| Sion Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.49% ( 0.2) | 28.51% ( -0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.71% ( 0.25) | 64.29% ( -0.24) |
| Lugano Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.45% ( 0.17) | 21.55% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.38% ( 0.25) | 54.62% ( -0.25) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sion | Draw | Lugano |
| 1-0 @ 7.71% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 7.43% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 4.84% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 3.11% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.38% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 2.02% ( 0)4-1 @ 0.97% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.68% Total : 31.13% | 1-1 @ 11.83% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 6.14% ( -0.09)2-2 @ 5.7% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.22% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.05% | 0-1 @ 9.43% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 9.08% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 7.24% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 4.65% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 3.7% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.92% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 1.78% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 1.42% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.12% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.48% Total : 43.82% |
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