SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Basel | 4 | -2 | 3 |
| 9 | FC Winterthur | 5 | -6 | 2 |
| 10 | FC Zurich | 5 | -9 | 2 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Young Boys | 5 | 10 | 11 |
| 2 | Servette | 6 | 1 | 11 |
| 3 | St Gallen | 5 | 5 | 9 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Young Boys win with a probability of 53.54%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for FC Winterthur had a probability of 23.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Young Boys win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.79%) and 0-2 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.99%), while for a FC Winterthur win it was 1-0 (6.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Young Boys would win this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Winterthur | Draw | Young Boys |
23.16% ( 0.11) | 23.3% | 53.54% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 55.2% ( 0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.73% ( 0.11) | 45.27% ( -0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.39% ( 0.11) | 67.61% ( -0.11) |
| FC Winterthur Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.39% ( 0.16) | 33.61% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.74% ( 0.18) | 70.25% ( -0.18) |
| Young Boys Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.14% ( -0) | 16.85% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.14% ( 0) | 46.86% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Winterthur | Draw | Young Boys |
| 1-0 @ 6.18% ( -0) 2-1 @ 6% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 3.37% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 2.18% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.94% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 1.22% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.28% Total : 23.16% | 1-1 @ 10.99% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.66% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 5.34% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.15% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.15% Total : 23.3% | 0-1 @ 10.08% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 9.79% ( -0)0-2 @ 8.98% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 5.81% ( -0)0-3 @ 5.33% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 3.17% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 2.59% ( -0)0-4 @ 2.37% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.41% ( 0)1-5 @ 0.92% Other @ 3.08% Total : 53.53% |
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