SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | KuPS | 16 | 18 | 36 |
| 2 | HJK Helsinki | 17 | 10 | 36 |
| 3 | Honka | 16 | 19 | 33 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Young Boys | 3 | 7 | 7 |
| 2 | St Gallen | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Servette | 3 | 1 | 5 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Young Boys win with a probability of 41.56%. A win for KuPS had a probability of 32.72% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Young Boys win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.81%) and 0-2 (7.04%). The likeliest KuPS win was 1-0 (8.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Young Boys would win this match.
| Result | ||
| KuPS | Draw | Young Boys |
32.72% ( 0.22) | 25.72% ( -0.04) | 41.56% ( -0.18) |
| Both teams to score 54.5% ( 0.22) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.47% ( 0.24) | 49.52% ( -0.25) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.44% ( 0.22) | 71.55% ( -0.22) |
| KuPS Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.37% ( 0.27) | 28.63% ( -0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.56% ( 0.33) | 64.43% ( -0.33) |
| Young Boys Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.37% ( 0.02) | 23.63% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.28% ( 0.03) | 57.72% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| KuPS | Draw | Young Boys |
| 1-0 @ 8.46% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 7.63% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 5.29% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 3.18% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 2.3% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 2.21% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 1% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.65% Total : 32.72% | 1-1 @ 12.2% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.76% ( -0.07)2-2 @ 5.51% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.1% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.71% | 0-1 @ 9.76% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 8.81% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 7.04% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 4.23% ( -0)0-3 @ 3.39% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.65% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.53% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.22% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 0.96% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.99% Total : 41.56% |
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