SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Young Boys win with a probability of 84.89%. A draw had a probability of 10.2% and a win for FC Winterthur had a probability of 4.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Young Boys win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.32%) and 4-0 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.8%), while for a FC Winterthur win it was 1-2 (1.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Young Boys would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Young Boys | Draw | FC Winterthur |
84.89% ( -0.07) | 10.21% ( 0.05) | 4.9% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 45.78% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 72.11% ( -0.12) | 27.89% ( 0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 51.39% ( -0.15) | 48.61% ( 0.16) |
| Young Boys Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 95.43% ( -0.03) | 4.57% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 81.32% ( -0.1) | 18.68% ( 0.1) |
| FC Winterthur Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 47.97% ( -0) | 52.02% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 13.98% ( -0) | 86.02% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Young Boys | Draw | FC Winterthur |
| 3-0 @ 11.64% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 11.32% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 8.98% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 7.61% ( 0)2-1 @ 7.4% ( 0.02)1-0 @ 7.34% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 5.87% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 5.54% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 3.62% ( -0.02)6-0 @ 2.85% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.49% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.92% ( -0)6-1 @ 1.86% ( -0.01)7-0 @ 1.26% ( -0.01)5-2 @ 1.18% ( -0.01)Other @ 4.03% Total : 84.89% | 1-1 @ 4.8% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 2.42% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 2.38% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.62% Total : 10.21% | 1-2 @ 1.57% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 1.55% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.78% Total : 4.9% |
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