SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Young Boys win with a probability of 80.45%. A draw had a probability of 12.4% and a win for FC Winterthur had a probability of 7.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Young Boys win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.27%) and 2-1 (8.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.72%), while for a FC Winterthur win it was 1-2 (2.22%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Young Boys would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Young Boys | Draw | FC Winterthur |
80.45% ( -0.49) | 12.4% ( -0.04) | 7.15% ( 0.52) |
| Both teams to score 51.07% ( 3.51) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 71.01% ( 2.65) | 28.98% ( -2.65) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 50.04% ( 3.17) | 49.96% ( -3.18) |
| Young Boys Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 94.47% ( 0.43) | 5.52% ( -0.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 78.48% ( 1.25) | 21.52% ( -1.25) |
| FC Winterthur Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.05% ( 3.49) | 45.94% ( -3.49) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.32% ( 2.58) | 81.67% ( -2.59) |
| Score Analysis |
| Young Boys | Draw | FC Winterthur |
| 2-0 @ 10.64% ( -1.07) 3-0 @ 10.27% ( -0.74)2-1 @ 8.28% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 7.99% ( 0.23)4-0 @ 7.44% ( -0.32)1-0 @ 7.35% ( -0.96)4-1 @ 5.79% ( 0.32)5-0 @ 4.31% ( -0.07)5-1 @ 3.35% ( 0.27)3-2 @ 3.11% ( 0.37)4-2 @ 2.25% ( 0.32)6-0 @ 2.08% ( 0.02)6-1 @ 1.62% ( 0.17)5-2 @ 1.3% ( 0.22)Other @ 4.67% Total : 80.44% | 1-1 @ 5.72% ( -0.14) 2-2 @ 3.22% ( 0.31)0-0 @ 2.54% ( -0.41)Other @ 0.93% Total : 12.4% | 1-2 @ 2.22% ( 0.16) 0-1 @ 1.97% ( -0.1)Other @ 2.95% Total : 7.15% |
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