SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Winterthur win with a probability of 41.78%. A win for Grasshopper Zurich had a probability of 33.25% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Winterthur win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.87%) and 2-0 (6.71%). The likeliest Grasshopper Zurich win was 1-2 (7.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.74%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Winterthur would win this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Winterthur | Draw | Grasshopper Zurich |
41.78% ( 0.19) | 24.97% ( -0.09) | 33.25% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 57.21% ( 0.28) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.91% ( 0.38) | 46.09% ( -0.38) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.61% ( 0.36) | 68.39% ( -0.36) |
| FC Winterthur Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.97% ( 0.25) | 22.03% ( -0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.65% ( 0.38) | 55.35% ( -0.39) |
| Grasshopper Zurich Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.37% ( 0.12) | 26.63% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.14% ( 0.16) | 61.86% ( -0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Winterthur | Draw | Grasshopper Zurich |
| 2-1 @ 8.88% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 8.87% ( -0.08)2-0 @ 6.71% ( -0)3-1 @ 4.48% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 3.38% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.96% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 1.69% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 1.28% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.12% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.4% Total : 41.78% | 1-1 @ 11.74% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 5.88% ( 0.04)0-0 @ 5.87% ( -0.09)3-3 @ 1.31% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.97% | 1-2 @ 7.77% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 7.76% ( -0.1)0-2 @ 5.14% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 3.43% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.59% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 2.27% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.13% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.16% Total : 33.25% |
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