Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Basel win with a probability of 53.89%. A win for FC Zurich had a probability of 23.23% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Basel win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.52%) and 0-2 (8.72%). The likeliest FC Zurich win was 2-1 (6.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.
