Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Basel win with a probability of 43.6%. A win for Lausanne Sport had a probability of 30.91% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Basel win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.03%) and 0-2 (7.42%). The likeliest Lausanne Sport win was 1-0 (8.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Basel would win this match.
