Basel
2 - 2
Lugano

Arthur (84'), van der Werff (89')
Comert (71')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Abubakar (36'), Lungoyi (87')
Sabbatini (73'), Baumann (90+3')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Swiss Super League clash between Basel and Lugano.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Basel win with a probability of 46.07%. A win for Lugano had a probability of 30.32% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Basel win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.03%) and 2-0 (6.87%). The likeliest Lugano win was 1-2 (7.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.

Result
Basel	Draw	Lugano
46.07%	23.61%	30.32%

Both teams to score 60.65%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59%

41%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.6%

63.39%

Basel Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.93%

18.06%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.02%

48.98%

Lugano Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.03%

25.97%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.01%

60.99%

Score Analysis

Basel 46.07%

Lugano 30.32%

Draw 23.61%

Basel	Draw	Lugano
2-1 @ 9.26% 1-0 @ 8.03% 2-0 @ 6.87% 3-1 @ 5.28% 3-0 @ 3.92% 3-2 @ 3.56% 4-1 @ 2.26% 4-0 @ 1.68% 4-2 @ 1.52% Other @ 3.69% Total : 46.07%	1-1 @ 10.82% 2-2 @ 6.24% 0-0 @ 4.69% 3-3 @ 1.6% Other @ 0.25% Total : 23.61%	1-2 @ 7.3% 0-1 @ 6.33% 0-2 @ 4.26% 1-3 @ 3.28% 2-3 @ 2.81% 0-3 @ 1.92% 1-4 @ 1.11% 2-4 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.38% Total : 30.32%