Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lugano win with a probability of 41.02%. A win for FC Zurich had a probability of 33.78% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lugano win was 0-1 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.79%) and 0-2 (6.66%). The likeliest FC Zurich win was 1-0 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.
