Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lausanne Sport win with a probability of 43.39%. A win for Lugano had a probability of 30.21% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lausanne Sport win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.87%) and 0-2 (7.82%). The likeliest Lugano win was 1-0 (8.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.
