Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Gallen win with a probability of 49.35%. A win for Lugano had a probability of 26.18% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Gallen win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.53%) and 0-2 (8.44%). The likeliest Lugano win was 1-0 (7.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.