Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Young Boys win with a probability of 68.61%. A draw had a probability of 18% and a win for Lugano had a probability of 13.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Young Boys win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.71%) and 1-0 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.41%), while for a Lugano win it was 1-2 (3.85%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Young Boys would win this match.
